Showing posts with label mitt romney. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mitt romney. Show all posts

Sunday, June 17, 2007

Iowa Republicans want out of Iraq. Will it affect the Iowa Straw Poll?

A recent poll by Strategic Vision showed that 54% of likely Iowa Republican Caucus goers want out of Iraq by November. Only 37% would like to stay.


What effects, if any, do you think this will have on the Iowa Straw Poll? That same poll showed that, despite the growing anti-Iraq War sentiment all but 14% of would still probably vote for a pro-war candidate. Anti-Iraq war candidate Ron Paul got only 2%. Is there a chance of Ron Paul placing higher at the poll in Ames after his online presence and debate performances have helped him gain more recognition since the May data from Strategic Vision?


It will be interesting to see how this plays out. Right now, Romney is still the clear favorite to win the Iowa Straw Poll.

Romney Uses Organization, Advertising To Build Lead In Early Voting States

Candidates like Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Sam Brownback and maybe even Ron Paul stand to gain some ground since Rudy Giuliani and John McCain have declined to participate in the Iowa Straw Poll. Romney will have the easiest time organizing support at the event since he will have more money than all other attending candidates combined.


Romney Uses Organization, Advertising To Build Lead In Early Voting States


Slowly, methodically, the Republican presidential contender has seized the advantage in the early states that count, relying on a solid organization, $4 million in advertising and an aggressive approach.


It's propelled him to the top of polls in the caucus and primary sites of Iowa and New Hampshire, and laid the foundation for what some analysts argue is greater success.


"Mitt Romney is now positioned as the front-runner for the nomination,'' said Scott Reed, who managed Bob Dole's 1996 presidential campaign. ``There's a long way to go, but to date he's running the most logical, thought-out, structured campaign. He's marching in the right cadence, he's raising the money, he's spending it wiser and he seems to be on track.''

Guiliani, McCain both about to be edged out of race for skipping Iowa Straw Poll

Column: Guiliani, McCain both about to be edged out of race


Arizona Sen. John McCain and former New York Mayor Rudy Guiliani have both dropped out of the August straw vote in Iowa. The straw vote is essentially a test of a candidate's early strength. It's non-binding so it doesn't really count -- but it is an important gauge in determining how well they are situated going into the January caucus.


By opting not to participate in the straw vote, McCain and Guiliani are effectively handing the contest to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who will be participating in the early contest. And that is significant for a couple of reasons.


The first is money. The straw vote requires a strong field organization and that takes money. Romney has it, McCain doesn't, and Guiliani apparently isn't interested in spending that much at this point.


The second reason is the potential that can be gained by a strong showing in the straw vote. There are still a lot of Republicans out there who are not overly excited by any of the top three contenders. Depending on how strong a showing Romney makes in the contest, some of those undecideds might be inclined to take a closer look at his candidacy. Not to mention some of the Iowa Republicans who might take issue with McCain and Guiliani's decision not to play, and decide maybe Romney is the guy they'll back come January.


However, one can expect both the McCain and Guiliani camps will dismiss the results by claiming the only reason Romney did as well as he did was because they opted not to play, thus it won't be a "fair" representation of how the January caucus vote will play out later. More...


Candidates that show up will definitely be seen better in the eyes of many Iowans.